Spain — World Cup 2026 Prediction
Outright model favourite. Yamal–Pedri–Olmo possession game is generating a tournament-best 2.76 xG per match and La Roja are unbeaten across their last nine (5W-4D) with just 0.44 goals conceded per game.
Spain ratings & odds
FIFA ranking #1, Elo 2165, 99% probability of advancing from the group and 19% to lift the trophy. Bracket difficulty 7.4/10.
Spain squad, travel & bracket path
Projected group-stage travel of 7900 km. Injury status: Squad fully fit. Finished: Champion. Confederation: UEFA.